Essays

“Agathe was a great hit with everyone. Inspiring, insightful, provocative and concise. A rare combination.”

Leading multinational organisation

Please check my contact page for media requests and speaking engagements, as well as my ECFR biography for media mentions.

ECFR publications

Hard, fast, and where it hurts: Lessons from Ukraine-related sanctions for a Taiwan conflict scenario (2024)
Read the policy brief

The purpose of sanctions: Why Europe and America should begin lifting measures on Syria (2024)
Read the commentary

Divided we stand: The EU votes on Chinese EV tariffs (2024)
Read the commentary

It just makes cents: Why the EU needs to step up its geoeconomics game (2024)
Read the commentary

The EU’s sanctions odyssey: Understanding the proposed restrictions on Russian LNG and helium (2024)
Read the policy alert

Forget about Trump: Why Europeans should start worrying about trade tensions with emerging economies (2024)
Read the commentary

The bigger picture: The case for an EU-Mercosur free trade deal (2024)
Read the commentary / Lire l’article / Leer el artículo

Economics front and centre: Why the US-EU summit matters (2023)
Read the policy alert

What the EU list of critical technologies tells us about its de-risking plans (2023)
Read the commentary

Essays and opinion pieces

Financial Times
The China-Russia trade friendship may not be quite what you think (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Affairs
Europe must unlock its geoeconomic power (2024)
Read the piece (co-authored with Abraham Newman)

Foreign Affairs
Why China Hasn’t Come to Russia’s Rescue (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Affairs
The End of the Age of Sanctions? (2022)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Will Europe fragment under Trump 2.0? (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Russia’s Plans to Replace the Dollar Are Going Nowhere (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Russia Can’t Keep Spending Like This for Long (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Why Europe Is Losing the Tech Race (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
China Should Worry About Europe if It Attacks Taiwan (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
The Winners from U.S.-China Decoupling (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Biden’s New Tariffs Should Raise Alarm Bells in Beijing (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Gazprom’s Declining Fortunes Spell Trouble for Moscow (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Forget About Chips—China Is Coming for Ships (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Claims That Sanctions Hurt Europe More Than Russia Are Wrong (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Two Years On, What’s Next in Ukraine? (2024)
Read the contribution

Foreign Policy
Why China Is Rooting for Trump (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
The West did not invent decoupling—China did (2024)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
5 issues to watch in 2024 (2024)
Read the contribution

Foreign Policy
The Unintended Consequences of Seizing Russian Assets (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Don’t Expect Much From Biden and Xi (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
The Easiest Way to Make Russia Sanctions More Effective (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
How Russia Evaded the Oil Price Cap (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Why Europe Will Struggle to ‘De-Risk’ From China (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
What Does ‘De-Risking’ Actually Mean? (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
China’s Threat to Ban Critical Minerals Exports Is a Bluff (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Aid Is the Next Battleground Between China and the West (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
No, Russia Is Not Massively Skirting Sanctions (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Don’t Trust Russia’s Numbers (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Russia Sanctions: 10 Lessons and Questions for What Comes Next (2023)
Read the piece

Foreign Policy
Sanctions on Russia Are Working. Here’s Why (2022)
Read the piece / Watch a clip from live event

Politico
Export controls on Russia might be working better than you think (2024)
Read the piece

Politico
Russia will lose the energy war Putin started (2022)
Read the piece

Politico
Why Erdoğan’s attacks on France will backfire (2020)
Read the piece

Heinrich Boll Stiftung
Why US export controls on clean tech would backfire (2024)
Read the policy brief

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
How Climate Change Will Reshape Economic Statecraft (2023)
Read the piece

World Politics Review
Sanctions on Russia Are a Long Game, Not a Quick Fix (2023)
Read the piece

Le Grand Continent
Une puissance stochastique : l’empire souterrain des États-Unis, une conversation avec Henry Farrell et Abraham Newman (2023)
Lire l’entretien / Leer la conversación / Leggere la conversazione

Le Grand Continent
Les nouvelles armes de la Russie / Las nuevas armas de Rusia (2023)
Lire l’analyse / Leer el artículo

Le Grand Continent
10 points sur les sanctions / 10 puntos sobre las sanciones (2023)
Lire l’analyse / Leer el artículo

CERI / Sciences Po
Regards sur l’Eurasie. L’année politique 2023/Les Etudes du CERI (2024)
L’économie russe : impact des sanctions et perspectives de long terme
Lire l’article

La Grande Conversation
A quoi servent les sanctions contre la Russie ? (2023)
Lire l’analyse

The Journal of Democracy
Why Sanctions Don’t Work Against Dictatorships (2022)
Read the piece

H-Diplo
Commentary Series on Putin’s War – Demarais, “Sanctions are Not Keeping Putin Awake at Night. Export Controls Are.” (2022)
Read the piece

The Times
We’re overlooking threat of countries linking to avoid sanctions (2021)
Read the piece

City-AM
Covid-19 creates a perfect storm for debt crises (2020)
Read the piece